Paul L Herrman
    Sierra Vista, Arizona USA (DM41um)
    WSA-Enlil CME and OVATION Aurora
    UTC: 
    n0nbh@n0nbh.com

                                                           
Do not use HTML code from translated pages.
Online MOF/LOF HF Prediction Tool Online Conversion Tools (SFI, SN, K-Index, nT, signal noise, geomag field Current CME Updates, Warnings, Predictions and Tutorials Understanding Solar Indicies and Flux values impact to HF propagation Glossary of space and solar terms Understanding Current Solar Images Current HF Propagation Maps Current f0f2 Critical Freq, T-Index, and HF Fade Maps Current MUF, Absorption, F2 Height, and Solar Angle Maps Current Space Conditions, Data and Indices Add Solar-Terrestrial Data to your website/webpage Add Solar-Terrestrial Data to your Windows Vista/7 Sidebar or Macintosh Desktop as a gadget Add Solar-Terrestrial Data to your iPod, iPhone, Android, or BlackBerry Get Solar-Terrestrial Data XML or RSS Feeds

If you can afford it, please consider a donation to my websites.......click to read more
Solar Data/Propagation
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Online Links and Favorites


WM7D Callsign Lookup:
  

Online Links and Favorites


WM7D Callsign Lookup:
  

Other Solar Data Sources
Of course I think my Solar Widget(s) are the best, but there are other free sources available. You choose which one you like the best.

  • Julian (G4ILO) offers an html panel (WebProp) with SN, flux, Indicies, and band conditions.
  • Patrick (N0HR) offers a solar panel (PropagationStats) with flux, Indicies, and warnings.
  • Kevin (N3KL) offers two status bars for X-ray and Geomag field.
  • Anthony (KA9NWM) at wattsupwiththat offers a World Climate Widget with SN, Flux, and solar image.
  • Allard (PE1NWL) at DXrobot - Gouda offers five band condition status bars for VHF Aurora, North American 2m Es, and Europe 2/4/6m Es.
  • Ansgar (DG2KBC) at Make More Miles on VHF offers three status graphs for EME, Europe Es and Meteor Scatter.
  • Elmer (PH5E) at Rig Reference offers a widget that indicates which current HF bands are open.
  • Claudio (IW1QLH) at HRDLOG offers a gadget that indicates current HF activity, solar image, solar flux, & sunspot number.
  • Derek (W4DTB) at OCRA offers a gadget that uses the N0NBH xml file to create a text and image gadget similar to what I offer from a php file. You can download the Source and some examples, along with the readme file from the following link.
  • Marv (W4ZD) offers a gadget that uses the N0NBH xml file to create an html color coded band conditions chart. Click the following link, and follow the instructions.

If you can afford it, please consider a donation to my websites.......click to read more





N0NBH Solar Banners in QST Magazine
The N0NBH Solar Banners are featured in Feb 2014 QST Magazine (you have to have a guest or regular membership to view).
Thanks Steve AG1YK for a great article!

HF Propagation Tools and Solar Data are now on multiple pages for faster loading

  • Use the buttons at the top and bottom of the page to navigate, or use the following links:
  • For Online MOF/LOF HF Propagation Prediction Tool, and conversion tools click here
  • For Solar-Terrestrial Data banners and widgets (both web page and devices) click here
  • For Understanding/Using Solar-Terrestrial Data, Solar Images, and HF Tutorials click here
  • For current Space Weather and HF Propagation Conditions, and MUF Maps click here
  • pdf presentation that contains tutorials and information on understanding radio propagation, and how to use all the data contained in the solar panels. You can download from this link
  • pdf presentation that contains detailed instructions on adding a banner to your www.qrz.com BIO page. You can download from this link

NOAA SWPC WSA-Enlil Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) Solar Wind Prediction Model

  • Courtesy of NOAA SWPC. Still of the latest model run is provided directly below when a CME event is predicted, along with comments from SWPC. A tutorial is provided below that, which helps in understanding the model output.
  • Please visit the NOAA SWPC WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction page for the full functionality of modes, time, speed, and additional information.
    • Click link or image to visit the Storm or CME Prediction Model page. Note that SWPC only updates the CME-based model when there is a potentially earth-directed CME.
  • This is a GREAT tool for viewing CME events, and the corresponding solar wind speed and density for use in predicting both Auroral events and HF blackout conditions.
Latest CME Model run from NOAA SWPC with actual data

Latest NOAA SWPC WSA-Enlil CME Solar Wind Prediction Model Prediction Run (From SWPC)

  • I will post these as I receive them from NOAA SWPC.
  • Solid lines are the models. Fuzzy lines are actual data from the ACE spacecraft (Earth), or both Stereo spacecraft. Timeline is the date/time of the run.
  • "Mon, Jun 22, 2015 at 9:52 PM. Forecaster analysis is still ongoing to estimate expected intensity, but the WSA-Enlil model run for the CME that erupted on June 22 in conjunction with an R2 solar flare has the CME hitting Earth at 2300 UT on June 24 (7 pm EDT). Note, the model has the June 22 CME riding along on elevated background wind speeds, which are a result of a weak high speed stream. This may help offset the known issue with the fast relaxation time of the model behind prior CMEs.

    The parameters for this run were
    Time at 21.5Rs (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm) : 2015-06-22 21:47
    CME axis latitude (degrees) : 23
    CME axis longitude (degrees) : 8
    half angle (degrees) : 45
    Radial velocity (km/s) : 1046"

    "Thu, Jun 25, 2015 at 11:59 AM. We had another CME erupt early this morning. It's mostly headed to the northwest, but there is still a significant Earth-directed component. We're on the eastern flank of the event, which means small errors in direction result in large changes in arrival time prediction. Arrival time from the latest WSA-Enlil run is 6/27 at 17:00 UT. CME parameters are below and the model run with ACE data overlaid is attached.

    Event start date/time: 2015-06-25 11:02 (UTC)
    Latitude: 20°
    Longitude: 41°
    Cone half angle: 47°
    Radial Velocity: 1419 km/s

Latest CME Model run from NOAA SWPC with actual data

NOAA SWPC WSA-Enlil CME Solar Wind Prediction Model Tutorial

  • Here is a tutorial NOAA SWPC WSA-Enlil CME Solar Wind Prediction Model. Clicking in the image will also open the full featured NOAA SWPC webpage.
Great tool for predicting HF blackouts and Auroral events!

OVATION Aurora Prediction Model

  • Courtesy of NOAA SWPC.
  • New Auroral Forecast product is based on the OVATION Prime model which provides a 30-40 minute forecast on the location and probability of auroral displays for both the northern and southern polar regions
  • Click link or image to visit the OVATION Aurora page.
Great tool for predicting Auroral events!
Northern Aurora Prediction

Great tool for predicting Auroral events!
Southern Aurora Prediction

If you can afford it, please consider a donation to help keep these items available.......click to read more
Worldwide HAM Radio QSL Website


Page Visits since 01 Jan 2015:  


Online MOF/LOF HF Prediction Tool Online Conversion Tools (SFI, SN, K-Index, nT, signal noise, geomag field Current CME Updates, Warnings, Predictions and Tutorials Understanding Solar Indicies and Flux values impact to HF propagation Glossary of space and solar terms Understanding Current Solar Images Current HF Propagation Maps Current f0f2 Critical Freq, T-Index, and HF Fade Maps Current MUF, Absorption, F2 Height, and Solar Angle Maps Current Space Conditions, Data and Indices Add Solar-Terrestrial Data to your website/webpage Add Solar-Terrestrial Data to your Windows Vista/7 Sidebar or Macintosh Desktop as a gadget Add Solar-Terrestrial Data to your iPod, iPhone, Android, or BlackBerry Get Solar-Terrestrial Data XML or RSS Feeds

73 all, de Paul N0NBH

25 Jun 2015

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